Diamondbacks at Phillies prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, stats for May 2

Its Friday, May 2 and the Diamondbacks (17-14) are in Philadelphia to take on the Phillies (17-14). Merrill Kelly is slated to take the mound for Arizona against Jesús Luzardo for Philadelphia.

The Phillies are coming off a 4-2 loss to the Nationals that snapped a four-game winning streak for Philadelphia. The Diamondbacks have won three of the past four games to follow up a four-game losing streak. Both of these teams have been streaky over the past 10 games.

Lets dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two. We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game details & how to watch Diamondbacks at Phillies

• Date: Friday, May 2, 2025
• Time: 6:45 PM EST
• Site: Citizens Bank Park
• City: Philadelphia, PA
• Network/Streaming: ARID, NBCSP

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Diamondbacks at the Phillies

The latest odds as of Friday:

• Moneyline: Diamondbacks (+135), Phillies (-159)
• Spread:  Phillies -1.5
• Total: 9.0 runs

Probable starting pitchers for Diamondbacks at Phillies

• Pitching matchup for May 2, 2025: Merrill Kelly vs. Jesús Luzardo
  
  • Diamondbacks: Merrill Kelly, (3-1, 4.41 ERA)
    Last outing: 6.0 Innings Pitched, 2 Earned Runs Allowed, 4 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 4 Strikeouts
  • Phillies: Jesús Luzardo, (3-0, 1.73 ERA)
    Last outing: 6.0 Innings Pitched, 2 Earned Runs Allowed, 3 Hits Allowed, 3 Walks, and 5 Strikeouts

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Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Diamondbacks and the Phillies

Rotoworld Best Bet

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) leans the Over between Arizona and Philly:

"Naturally, I would be on the Under between these teams because Kelly has allowed two or fewer earned runs in five out of six games and Luzardo the same. However, those types of bets and mindsets are only a small portion of things to consider when betting. There is some regression due for both starting pitchers and neither bullpen has been reliable this season. I lean toward the Over 8.5 to 9.0, which is a higher total for two pitchers coming off impressive outings."

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Friday’s game between the Diamondbacks and the Phillies:

• Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Philadelphia Phillies on the Moneyline.
• Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Arizona Diamondbacks at +1.5.
• Total: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Game Total of 9.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC.

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Diamondbacks at Phillies

• The Phillies have a winning record (4-1) in their last 5 games
• The Over is 15-5 in the Diamondbacks' last 10 games on the road and the Phillies' last 10 at home combined
• The Phillies have failed to cover the Run Line in 3 straight matchups against the Diamondbacks

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

• Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
• Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
• Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
• Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)