Orioles at Yankees Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends and stats for June 20

It's Friday, June 20 and the Orioles (32-42) are in Bronx to take on the Yankees (43-31). Tomoyuki Sugano is slated to take the mound for Baltimore against Max Fried for New York.

Baltimore is coming off a split of a series against Tampa Bay where 39 combined runs were scored. The Orioles are 16-6 over the last 22 games after going 16-36 through the first 52 games.

New York lost six straight, which was a season-long losing streak, before ending a four-game series against the Los Angeles with a 7-3 win. The Yankees were swept by the Red Sox and lost three of four against the Angels mainly because of the offense. New York scored five runs total over their six-game losing streak, but bounced back with seven yesterday in a game that featured two rain delays.

Let's dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two. We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game details & how to watch Orioles at Yankees

• Date: Friday, June 20, 2025
• Time: 7:05PM EST
• Site: Yankee Stadium
• City: Bronx, NY
• Network/Streaming: MASN, YES, MLBN

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Orioles at the Yankees

The latest odds as of Friday:

• Moneyline: Orioles (+188), Yankees (-229)
• Spread:  Yankees -1.5
• Total: 9.0 runs

Probable starting pitchers for Orioles at Yankees

• Pitching matchup for June 20, 2025: Tomoyuki Sugano vs. Max Fried
  
  • Orioles: Tomoyuki Sugano, (5-4, 3.38 ERA)
    Last outing: 4.2 Innings Pitched, 3 Earned Runs Allowed, 6 Hits Allowed, 2 Walks, and 4 Strikeouts
  • Yankees: Max Fried, (9-2, 1.90 ERA)
    Last outing: 7.0 Innings Pitched, 2 Earned Runs Allowed, 6 Hits Allowed, 2 Walks, and 9 Strikeouts

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Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Orioles and the Yankees

Rotoworld Best Bet

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) thinks there is still value on Aaron Judge to be the home run leader:

"Aaron Judge has been cold lately with two hits and three walks (two intentional) since that game-tying homer in the 9th against Boston (six game span).

His odds of hitting .400 before the All-Star break are barely worth a sprinkle now as he's at a .366 batting average. However, he is still -110 to +110 to lead the MLB in homers and with 26 on the season, he ranks second.

I don't expect Cal Raleigh (27) to lead the MLB and Shohei Ohtani (25) is pitching now, so the wear and tear could affect the NL MVP favorite, so I think Judge is still a good bet to lead the MLB in homers."

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Friday’s game between the Orioles and the Yankees:

• Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the New York Yankees on the Moneyline.
• Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Baltimore Orioles at +1.5.
• Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the under on the Game Total of 9.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC.

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Orioles at Yankees

• The Yankees have won 13 of their last 20 home games against teams with losing records
• The Under is 41-30-3 in Yankees' games this season
• New York is 12-3 on the ML when Max Fried pitches this season
• Baltimore is 8-6 on the ML when Yomoyuki Sugano pitches this season

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

• Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
• Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
• Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
• Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)